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Silver Bulletin

Essays and analysis about elections, media, sports, poker, and all the other things I care about.
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TodayHow popular is Donald Trump?Silver Bulletin approval ratings for President Trump — and all presidents since Truman.
TodayWho’s ahead on the generic congressional ballot?Our constantly-updating tracker of polls for the most important indicator in the race for Congress.
TodayHow popular is the Iran War?Silver Bulletin approval ratings for the ongoing conflict.
YesterdayWhat to make of MichiganAbdul El-Sayed’s apparent victory is a big win for the left — but a disaster for polling and a case study in poor expectations management.
3 days agoWhat Trump's latest slump means for the midtermsCould anything save Republicans in the House? Plus, previewing tomorrow’s Michigan primary. And our midterms model is coming soon!
1 week agoGoodbye, Iowa. Hello, Michigan. Which Democratic primaries will matter most in 2028?South Carolina will vote first, which could help moderates. But Michigan and Virginia may hold the real power.
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